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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Antakya Atatürk Stadı

Hatayspor
1 - 0
Kasimpasa

Atsu (90+7')
Demirel (15'), Luis (39'), Ribeiro (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eysseric (63'), Tirpan (64'), Koita (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Gaziantep 4-1 Hatayspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-1 Giresunspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Kasimpasa

 Possessing the worst attack in the division, few people will expect much quality from Hatayspor in the final third on Sunday. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side may do enough to secure a point, keeping them in close proximity to numerous teams above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawKasimpasa
42.45% (-0.257 -0.26) 24.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.4% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.11 0.11)42.27% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.113 0.11)64.67% (-0.114 -0.11)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (-0.109 -0.11)52.36% (0.107 0.11)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (0.20399999999999 0.2)24.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (0.287 0.29)59.25% (-0.29 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 42.45%
    Kasimpasa 33.4%
    Draw 24.15%
HataysporDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.4%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Kasimpasa

Hatayspor
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Kasimpasa
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 5.15pm
Kasimpasa
1-0
Hatayspor
Hajradinovic (36')
Eysseric (59'), Engin (90+2'), Fall (90+4')

Yilmaz (81')
Jan 8, 2022 1pm
Kasimpasa
3-1
Hatayspor
Eysseric (1'), Bozok (6'), Travnik (50')
Travnik (78'), Hadergjonaj (90+9')
Ergun (75')
Aug 14, 2021 7.45pm
Hatayspor
1-1
Kasimpasa
Lobzhanidze (72')
Ergun (14'), Boudjemaa (60'), Corekci (68')
Eysseric (18')
Ben Ouannes (32'), Hajradinovic (51'), Engin (90')
Feb 6, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
1-4
Hatayspor
Kiese Thelin (56')
Erdogan (16')
Boupendza (44'), Aabid (72'), Canli (84'), Kamara (90+1')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Hatayspor
1-0
Kasimpasa
Biram Diouf (57')
Caytemel (45'), Biram Diouf (51')

Kara (36'), Serbest (76'), Oguz (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor361941364481661
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul361771251401158
5BesiktasBesiktas36167134943655
6KasimpasaKasimpasa36157146064-452
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor361214105148350
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor36147154856-849
9SivassporSivasspor361212124252-1048
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor361112134147-645
11Adana Demirspor361014125153-244
12Samsunspor36119164048-842
13KayserisporKayserispor361111144153-1241
14KonyasporKonyaspor36913143748-1140
15AnkaragucuAnkaragucu36815134448-439
16GaziantepGaziantep36108184656-1038
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk36910174548-337
18Hatayspor36813154150-937
19Pendikspor3699184272-3036
RIstanbulspor3647252671-4516
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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