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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 1
Kasimpasa

Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Guler (45'), Crespo (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fall (24')
Tirpan (26'), Donk (10'), Kara (90'), Ciftpinar (90+5'), Ciftpinar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-3 Istanbul
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Kasimpasa

 Batshuayi and Valencia will surely be too much for fading Kasimpasa and a routine win is a likely outcome for Jorge Jesus's high-flying Fenerbahce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawKasimpasa
75.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 15.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03) 9.34% (-0.076099999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.53% (-0.434 -0.43)34.47% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.6% (-0.489 -0.49)56.39% (0.489 0.49)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.38% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)7.61% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)27.22% (0.233 0.23)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (-0.463 -0.46)44.97% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (-0.372 -0.37)80.91% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 75.61%
    Kasimpasa 9.34%
    Draw 15.04%
FenerbahceDrawKasimpasa
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 9.75% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.27% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.58% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 75.61%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 15.04%
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.74% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa

Fenerbahce
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Kasimpasa
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Berisha (16'), Gustavo (45+5')
Crespo (26'), Rossi (45+2'), Gustavo (59'), Aziz (73'), Novak (74')
Travnik (53')
Sadiku (35'), Bozok (62'), Aytac (76')
Apr 25, 2021 6.30pm
Fenerbahce
3-2
Kasimpasa
Valencia (15')
Hajradinovic (21'), Szalai (40'), Valencia (45+1' pen.), Hadergjonaj (82' pen.)
Kiese Thelin (33'), Kahveci (42'), Tekin (81')
Jan 4, 2021 4pm
Kasimpasa
0-3
Fenerbahce

Sadiku (64'), Yildirim (81')
Thiam (14', 45+1'), Kadioglu (86')
Gumus (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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