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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Kasimpasa
1 - 3
Istanbul

Ozcan (16')
Hajradinovic (36'), Ben Ouannes (47'), Kalkan (85'), Kara (90+7'), Eysseric (90+11'), Ciftpinar (90+13')
Ben Ouannes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aleksic (48'), Turuc (90+9' pen.), Szysz (90+11')
Tekdemir (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

While Kasimpasa have put in some much-improved performances recently, Basaksehir are likely to emerge as comfortable winners, given the disparity between the teams in the league standings. Belozoglu's side rarely run away with matches, only winning by more than two goals on one occasion in the Turkish Super Lig this season, but they should be able to record a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
31.93% (0.158 0.16) 25.11% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 42.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.25% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-0.189 -0.19)47.13% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63% (-0.176 -0.18)69.36% (0.172 0.17)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.96% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)63.59% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)21.92% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.273 -0.27)55.19% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 31.93%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 42.96%
    Draw 25.11%
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.063 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Istanbul

Kasimpasa
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Istanbul Basaksehir
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 5.15pm
Istanbul
4-0
Kasimpasa
Aleksic (22'), Szysz (38'), Chouiar (74'), Turuc (77' pen.)
Tekdemir (13'), Ndayishimiye (23')

Hajradinovic (15'), Ozcan (51'), Petretta (76')
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Kasimpasa
2-3
Istanbul
Fall (43'), Muleka (78')
Gulbrandsen (28'), Trezeguet (45'), Turuc (52' pen.)
Cigerci (13'), Turuc (90+1')
Dec 11, 2021 1pm
Istanbul
2-1
Kasimpasa
Visca (53'), Tekdemir (90+2')
Duarte (45'), Tekdemir (85')
Hajradinovic (78')
Travnik (76'), Hajradinovic (84'), Haspolat (90+7')
Apr 22, 2021 5pm
Dec 27, 2020 4pm
Istanbul
2-2
Kasimpasa
Chadli (27'), Visca (90+2')
Da Silva (58')
Erdogan (36'), Hodzic (85')
Kara (15'), Taskiran (88'), Tirpan (90+5')
Kara (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216


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