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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)

Karagumruk
0 - 1
Antalyaspor


Bertolacci (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sinik (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Karagumruk
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-2 Sivasspor
Monday, April 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 3-1 Antalyaspor

Pirlo's men have averaged 2.4 goals at home in their last five matches in Fatih, so goalscoring is not an issue for Karagumruk. They are likely to concede at the other end but should have too much firepower for Antalyaspor in what could be a high-scoring encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAntalyaspor
42.01% (0.101 0.1) 23.85% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 34.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.48% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.392 0.39)40.62% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.4 0.4)63.01% (-0.395 -0.39)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (0.212 0.21)19.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43% (0.337 0.34)51.56% (-0.332 -0.33)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.173 0.17)23.51% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (0.25 0.25)57.55% (-0.245 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 42.01%
    Antalyaspor 34.14%
    Draw 23.85%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAntalyaspor
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.14%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor

Fatih Karagumruk
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Antalyaspor
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Antalyaspor
4-2
Karagumruk
Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Viviano (30')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
gameweek 25
Antalyaspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor

Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')

Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
gameweek 38
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
Jan 6, 2021 4pm
gameweek 17
Antalyaspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ozmert (19' pen.), Bayrakdar (37'), Albayrak (71')
Sahin (33')
Balkovec (10')
Altinay (18'), Roco (23'), Colak (90+2')
Roco (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray35313186226496
2Fenerbahce35286189315890
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor351841361481358
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul351671250401055
5BesiktasBesiktas35166134842654
6AlanyasporAlanyaspor351213105047349
7KasimpasaKasimpasa35147145763-649
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor35147144754-749
9SivassporSivasspor351212114251-948
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor351112124044-445
11Adana Demirspor351014115047344
12Samsunspor35119154045-542
13KayserisporKayserispor351111134150-941
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu35815124346-339
15Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk35910164345-237
16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
17GaziantepGaziantep3598184055-1535
18Hatayspor35713153949-1034
19Pendikspor3589184071-3133
RIstanbulspor3547242668-4216


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