MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 16:20:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Umraniyespor

Karagumruk
4 - 2
Umraniyespor

Lobzhanidze (45+1'), Borini (45+6' pen., 52' pen.), Diagne (75')
Shukurov (34'), Diagne (40'), Dresevic (83'), Viviano (90+9'), Kapacak (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nayir (36' pen.), Kayode (62')
Kayode (45+8'), Glumac (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Umraniyespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Umraniyespor
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Umraniyespor

On a run of one win since early January, Unraniyespor head into Tuesday knowing that another defeat could see them slip further into trouble at the bottom end of the table. However, they face a resolute Karagumruk side who will be looking to bounce back from their defeat to Fenerbahce. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing Pirlo's side to come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
51.53% (-1.139 -1.14) 21.45% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 27.01% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 66.06% (1.462 1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.414 1.41)32.83% (-1.421 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.47% (1.615 1.62)54.52% (-1.621 -1.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (0.137 0.14)13.12% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (0.285 0.28)39.76% (-0.293 -0.29)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (1.562 1.56)23.96% (-1.567 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (2.186 2.19)58.19% (-2.193 -2.19)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 51.53%
    Umraniyespor 27.01%
    Draw 21.45%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.425 -0.43)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.087 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Fatih Karagumruk
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Umraniyespor
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor361941364481661
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul361771251401158
5BesiktasBesiktas36167134943655
6KasimpasaKasimpasa36157146064-452
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor361214105148350
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor36147154856-849
9SivassporSivasspor361212124252-1048
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor361112134147-645
11Adana Demirspor361014125153-244
12Samsunspor36119164048-842
13KayserisporKayserispor361111144153-1241
14KonyasporKonyaspor36913143748-1140
15AnkaragucuAnkaragucu36815134448-439
16GaziantepGaziantep36108184656-1038
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk36910174548-337
18Hatayspor36813154150-937
19Pendikspor3699184272-3036
RIstanbulspor3647252671-4516


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