Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
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