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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Monza

Spezia
0 - 2
Monza


Gyasi (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ciurria (21'), Augusto (90+3')
Birindelli (68'), Sensi (90+2'), Palladino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Monza

Spezia have shown great spirit to draw three of their last four matches and remain outside the relegation zone, so we expect the hosts to hold Monza at Stadio Alberto Picco, with a familiar scoreline in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawMonza
30.63%25.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 30.63%
    Monza 43.84%
    Draw 25.52%
SpeziaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Spezia vs Monza

Spezia
25.0%
Draw
20.3%
Monza
54.7%
64
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 9
Monza
2-0
Spezia
Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus351812548272166
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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