Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Monza |
30.63% | 25.52% ( 0) | 43.85% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% ( 0) | 49.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% ( 0) | 71.47% ( -0) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% ( 0) | 29.97% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% ( 0) | 66.09% ( -0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( 0) | 22.48% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% ( 0) | 56.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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