Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
SPAL | Draw | Roma |
17.22% | 20.41% | 62.37% |
Both teams to score 55.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.41% | 40.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% | 62.97% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% | 36.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% | 73.72% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% | 12.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.57% | 38.42% |
Score Analysis |
SPAL | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 4.76% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.22% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.41% | 0-2 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 1.79% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.61% Total : 62.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |