Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona |
34.53% ( 0.74) | 28.19% ( -0.29) | 37.28% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 47.17% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.01% ( 1.1) | 58.99% ( -1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.54% ( 0.84) | 79.46% ( -0.84) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( 1.06) | 32.18% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% ( 1.19) | 68.67% ( -1.19) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( 0.27) | 30.44% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( 0.32) | 66.64% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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