Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
66.99% ( -0.64) | 19.63% ( 0.09) | 13.38% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 48.37% ( 1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% ( 0.87) | 44.91% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.74% ( 0.83) | 67.26% ( -0.83) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( 0.08) | 12.46% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.58% ( 0.16) | 38.42% ( -0.16) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.26% ( 1.41) | 44.74% ( -1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.28% ( 1.11) | 80.72% ( -1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.13% Total : 66.98% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.63% | 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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