Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
20.35% ( -0.07) | 23.56% ( -0.08) | 56.09% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( 0.22) | 49.59% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( 0.19) | 71.61% ( -0.19) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% ( 0.05) | 38.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% ( 0.04) | 75.49% ( -0.04) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% ( 0.14) | 17.5% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.99% ( 0.23) | 48% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.35% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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