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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Spezia

Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Lazio
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Fiorentina vs. Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Spezia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Spezia vs. Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-0 Spezia

Though it took a fightback from behind to win 3-2 in September's reverse fixture, Juventus should have no such problems on Sunday, as they approach this encounter in far better form. Even accounting for a series of absences in the home side's squad, only Venezia have faced more shots on target than Spezia in Serie A this season, while city rivals Torino are the only team to have conceded fewer than Juve - indicating the probable outcome of this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 79.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
79.07%13.57%7.36%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.54%56.46%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.08%6.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.6%25.4%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39%49.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62%84.38%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 79.06%
    Spezia 7.36%
    Draw 13.57%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.24%
3-0 @ 10.9%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 7.65%
4-0 @ 7.28%
4-1 @ 5.11%
5-0 @ 3.89%
5-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.73%
6-1 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 79.06%
1-1 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 3.43%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 13.57%
0-1 @ 2.41%
1-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 7.36%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
82.0%
Draw
12.0%
Spezia
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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