Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
21.89% | 22.89% | 55.22% |
Both teams to score 54.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% | 44.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% | 67.23% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.45% | 34.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.73% | 71.27% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.88% | 16.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.46% | 45.54% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 5.92% 2-1 @ 5.74% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.89% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.28% 1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |