Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Inter Milan |
36.19% ( -0.24) | 23.13% ( 0.14) | 40.68% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 64.67% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.34% ( -0.73) | 36.66% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.18% ( -0.81) | 58.82% ( 0.81) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( -0.44) | 20.61% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( -0.71) | 53.16% ( 0.71) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.27) | 18.54% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.22% ( -0.45) | 49.78% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 40.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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