Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.25% | 24.7% | 33.05% |
Both teams to score 58.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% | 44.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% | 67.29% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% | 21.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% | 54.26% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% | 61.28% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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