Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Frosinone |
58.18% ( 0.08) | 22.53% ( -0.02) | 19.29% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( -0) | 46.68% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.05% ( -0) | 68.95% ( 0) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( 0.03) | 15.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% ( 0.05) | 44.85% ( -0.05) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.79% ( -0.07) | 38.2% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.03% ( -0.06) | 74.96% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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