Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
72.55% ( 0.05) | 16.83% ( -0.03) | 10.61% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% ( 0.04) | 39.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% ( 0.04) | 61.6% ( -0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.54% ( 0.02) | 9.46% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.23% ( 0.05) | 31.77% ( -0.05) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.22% ( -0.02) | 45.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.45% ( -0.02) | 81.55% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 16.83% | 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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