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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sampdoria logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Maehle (42'), Lookman (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malagrida (86'), Leris (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Udinese
Sunday, January 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sampdoria

Having apparently reverted to the Atalanta of old, the hosts should have few difficulties in picking their way through Samp's porous defence, but could also get caught on the counter themselves. Though not always as comfortable at home as on the road, La Dea's hot streak will continue with another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
72.55% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 16.83% (-0.026 -0.03) 10.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.27% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)61.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)9.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.77% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.55% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.55%
    Sampdoria 10.61%
    Draw 16.83%
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.04%
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sampdoria

Atalanta BC
83.1%
Draw
14.5%
Sampdoria
2.4%
83
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ferrari (1'), Verre (73'), Quagliarella (81'), Sabiri (81')
Toloi (26'), Lookman (90+4')
Okoli (19'), Pasalic (45'), Musso (80'), de Roon (84'), Zortea (88'), Hateboer (90+2')
Feb 28, 2022 7.50pm
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Pasalic (6'), Koopmeiners (29', 61'), Miranchuk (86')
Toloi (77')

Ekdal (48'), Thorsby (66')
Oct 27, 2021 5.30pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Caputo (10')
Thorsby (26'), Askildsen (29'), Colley (36'), Chabot (90+1')
Askildsen (17' og.), Zapata (21'), Ilicic (90+5')
Luis Palomino (14'), Ilicic (64'), Freuler (90+3')
Feb 28, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ekdal (63')
Malinovskyi (40'), Gosens (70')
Freuler (10'), Toloi (47'), de Roon (81')
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
Zapata (80' pen.)
Mojica (44'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (86')
Quagliarella (13'), Thorsby (59'), Jankto (90+1')
Tonelli (31'), Yoshida (47'), Balde (69'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus351812548272166
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16Empoli3588192650-2432
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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