Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.