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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts logo

Dundee
2 - 3
Hearts

McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 0-2 Hearts

Results have been very varied between these two sides at Dens Park since Dundee's top-flight return in 2012, with the hosts 7-5 up in terms of wins in 13 meetings. However, with Hearts' current form, it is hard to look past the visitors repeating the feat of their success over Dundee last month to maintain that healthy lead in third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
26.19% (-0.211 -0.21) 23.29% (0.131 0.13) 50.52% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68% (-0.773 -0.77)42.32% (0.77500000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.779 -0.78)64.72% (0.779 0.78)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-0.566 -0.57)29.52% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.695 -0.7)65.54% (0.697 0.7)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.254 -0.25)16.86% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.459 -0.46)46.88% (0.46 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 26.19%
    Hearts 50.53%
    Draw 23.28%
DundeeDrawHearts
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 26.19%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.229 0.23)
0-2 @ 7.89% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.53%

How you voted: Dundee vs Hearts

Dundee
19.2%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-2
Dundee
Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-0
Hearts
McCowan (63')
Beck (39')

Oda (39')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-1
Dundee
Souttar (37')
Halkett (30'), Woodburn (34')
Cummings (83')
Legzdins (38'), Sweeney (53'), McGhee (59'), Adam (69'), Mullen (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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