Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Dundee United |
20.9% ( 0.24) | 24.29% ( -0.03) | 54.8% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% ( 0.4) | 51.82% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% ( 0.34) | 73.58% ( -0.34) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.55% ( 0.48) | 39.45% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% ( 0.45) | 76.14% ( -0.45) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( 0.07) | 18.81% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.11) | 50.24% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 10.35% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |