Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
42.79% ( 0.04) | 25.96% ( -0.03) | 31.24% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% ( 0.09) | 51.04% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 0.08) | 72.9% ( -0.09) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.09) | 57.8% ( -0.09) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( 0.03) | 30.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( 0.04) | 66.55% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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