Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Dundee United |
24.66% ( 0.01) | 25.58% ( -0) | 49.76% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.73% ( 0.02) | 53.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.18% ( 0.02) | 74.82% ( -0.02) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( 0.02) | 36.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( 0.02) | 73.46% ( -0.01) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( 0.01) | 21.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% ( 0.01) | 54.44% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.66% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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