Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
38.12% ( -0.1) | 26.25% ( 0.08) | 35.63% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.7% ( -0.34) | 51.29% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( -0.29) | 73.12% ( 0.3) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( -0.21) | 26.25% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.64% ( -0.28) | 61.35% ( 0.29) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.31% ( -0.15) | 27.68% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( -0.19) | 63.24% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |