Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
38.03% ( 0.01) | 25.78% ( -0.05) | 36.18% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.76% ( 0.22) | 49.24% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.7% ( 0.2) | 71.29% ( -0.2) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( 0.11) | 25.34% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( 0.15) | 60.13% ( -0.15) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( 0.13) | 26.38% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( 0.17) | 61.54% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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