MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 21:20:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd Sport City Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
3 - 0
Al-Nassr

Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr

 Both these sides come into this match carrying excellent league form, but the visitors did show a few signs of weakness in midweek, especially after the withdrawal of the league's top scorer, Cristiano Ronaldo. The hosts, though, were solid in their AFC Champions League outing, and their unbeaten record this season cannot be ignored. We are expecting a high-quality encounter here but are siding with Al Hilal to edge the contest by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
44.95% (-0.305 -0.31) 23.44% (0.321 0.32) 31.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.98% (-1.205 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-1.572 -1.57)39.55% (1.57 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-1.656 -1.66)61.89% (1.655 1.66)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.744 -0.74)17.94% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-1.29 -1.29)48.76% (1.288 1.29)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)24.46% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-1.104 -1.1)58.9% (1.101 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 44.95%
    Al-Nassr 31.61%
    Draw 23.43%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.368 0.37)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.313 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.311 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
33.0%
Draw
10.0%
Al-Nassr
57.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal31292095207589
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3188153948-932
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3177173058-2828
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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