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Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Cowdenbeath

Kilmarnock II
3 - 0
Cowdenbeath

Wales (19'), Warnock (20'), Sotona (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Kilmarnock II and Cowdenbeath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock II

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cowdenbeath

Last Six:
    Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Cowdenbeath
    Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 18.18%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Kilmarnock II win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

    Result
    Kilmarnock IIDrawCowdenbeath
    18.18% (0.41 0.41) 19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 62.82% (-0.371 -0.37)
    Both teams to score 62.48% (1.025 1.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    67.91% (0.937 0.94)32.08% (-0.936 -0.94)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    46.34% (1.085 1.09)53.66% (-1.084 -1.08)
    Kilmarnock II Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    69.29% (1.002 1)30.7% (-1.002 -1)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.04% (1.168 1.17)66.96% (-1.166 -1.17)
    Cowdenbeath Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    90.16% (0.179 0.18)9.83% (-0.178 -0.18)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    67.36% (0.414 0.41)32.64% (-0.413 -0.41)
    Score Analysis
        Kilmarnock II 18.18%
        Cowdenbeath 62.82%
        Draw 19%
    Kilmarnock IIDrawCowdenbeath
    2-1 @ 4.88% (0.063 0.06)
    1-0 @ 3.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
    3-2 @ 2.23% (0.105 0.11)
    2-0 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
    3-1 @ 1.92% (0.076 0.08)
    Other @ 3.48%
    Total : 18.18%
    		1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
    2-2 @ 5.66% (0.115 0.11)
    0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.155 -0.16)
    3-3 @ 1.72% (0.094 0.09)
    Other @ 0.33%
    Total : 19%
    		1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
    0-2 @ 8.12% (-0.285 -0.29)
    1-3 @ 7.41% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
    0-1 @ 7% (-0.303 -0.3)
    0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.17 -0.17)
    2-3 @ 4.38% (0.123 0.12)
    1-4 @ 4.3% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
    0-4 @ 3.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
    2-4 @ 2.54% (0.09 0.09)
    1-5 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
    0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
    2-5 @ 1.18% (0.05 0.05)
    3-4 @ 1% (0.062 0.06)
    Other @ 3.7%
    Total : 62.82%

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