Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
30.38% ( 0.25) | 24.43% ( -0.11) | 45.19% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 0.63) | 44.74% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 0.61) | 67.1% ( -0.6) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( 0.48) | 27.79% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( 0.62) | 63.37% ( -0.61) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( 0.2) | 19.92% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.32) | 52.06% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.38% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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