Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
45.21% ( 0.16) | 25.35% ( -0.05) | 29.43% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( 0.17) | 49.26% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( 0.15) | 71.31% ( -0.15) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% ( 0.14) | 21.78% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% ( 0.22) | 54.97% ( -0.22) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 0.01) | 30.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( 0.01) | 66.99% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |