MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 21:45:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Sporting Lisbon

Porto
3 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Porto
Sunday, August 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

Saturday's game sees two of the biggest sides in Portuguese football go head to head and this makes for an exciting watch. The reigning champions head into the game in superb form, winning each of their last 10 games across all competitions. While we expect the Leoes to put up a fight, we fancy Porto coming out on top while riding on the wave of support from the home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSporting Lisbon
50.15% (-1.213 -1.21) 23.08% (0.3 0.3) 26.77% (0.913 0.91)
Both teams to score 59.86% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11% (-0.618 -0.62)40.89% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72% (-0.634 -0.63)63.27% (0.635 0.63)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-0.658 -0.66)16.47% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-1.198 -1.2)46.17% (1.198 1.2)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.351 0.35)28.34% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.443 0.44)64.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Porto 50.15%
    Sporting Lisbon 26.77%
    Draw 23.08%
PortoDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: Porto vs Sporting Lisbon

Porto
84.6%
Draw
9.2%
Sporting Lisbon
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
Sep 11, 2021 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Porto
Santos (16')
Vinagre (3'), Paulinho (14'), Neto (39'), Porro (43'), Cabral (51'), Adan (90+2')
Diaz (71')
Costa (2'), Marcano (4'), Pepe (43'), Manafa (56'), Martinez (85')
Martinez (87')
Feb 27, 2021 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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