Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Casa Pia |
31.1% ( 0.15) | 26.12% ( -0.03) | 42.78% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.2) | 51.74% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.17) | 73.51% ( -0.17) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.2) | 30.82% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.9% ( 0.23) | 67.1% ( -0.23) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( 0.03) | 24% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.74% ( 0.05) | 58.25% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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