Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
36.25% ( 0.03) | 26.94% ( -0.01) | 36.81% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.87% ( 0.05) | 54.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.45% ( 0.04) | 75.55% ( -0.04) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( 0.04) | 28.68% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( 0.05) | 64.5% ( -0.05) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% ( 0.02) | 64.08% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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