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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Brighton logo

Man City
3 - 1
Brighton

Braut Haaland (22', 43' pen.), De Bruyne (75')
Mahrez (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Trossard (53')
Caicedo (26'), Gross (61'), Estupinan (74')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League fixture against Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Guardiola will be looking for a response from his Man City players following last weekend's defeat, and the Citizens will be regarded as strong favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday, although Brighton's threat cannot be underestimated. Only Crystal Palace have tested City on home soil in the Premier League so far this season, albeit still losing 4-2, and unless Brighton can rediscover their clinical touch in front of goal, the reigning champions should have few problems in securing another routine victory at the Etihad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
79.02% (0.639 0.64) 12.67% (-0.249 -0.25) 8.3% (-0.3951 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.61% (-0.892 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.51% (-0.173 -0.17)25.48% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.45% (-0.223 -0.22)45.54% (0.217 0.22)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.92% (0.064999999999998 0.06)5.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.8% (0.20400000000001 0.2)20.19% (-0.208 -0.21)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.985 -0.98)40.36% (0.98 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.903 -0.9)76.98% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 79.02%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 8.3%
    Draw 12.67%
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 9.04% (0.221 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.74% (0.195 0.2)
4-1 @ 6.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.094 0.09)
5-0 @ 4.02% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 3.65% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.77% (-0.068 -0.07)
6-0 @ 2% (0.075 0.08)
6-1 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 5.85%
Total : 79.02%
1-1 @ 5.54% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.67%
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 8.3%

How you voted: Man City vs Brighton

Manchester City
84.4%
Draw
7.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
8.4%
262
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Man City
3-0
Brighton
Mahrez (53'), Foden (65'), Silva (82')

Mac Allister (79'), Webster (81'), Dunk (89')
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
1-4
Man City
Mac Allister (81' pen.)
Moder (63'), Lallana (70')
Gundogan (13'), Foden (28', 31'), Mahrez (90+5')
Walker (22'), Cancelo (60'), Ederson (84')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Brighton
3-2
Man City
Trossard (50'), Webster (72'), Burn (76')
Jahanbakhsh (27'), Webster (90+3'), Sanchez (90+5')
Gundogan (2'), Foden (48')
Silva (73'), Rodri (79'), Fernandinho (82')
Cancelo (10')
Jan 13, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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