MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 18:00:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park
Larne

Glenavon
0 - 4
Larne


Garrett (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bonis (47', 48', 56'), Sloan (65')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-0 Larne
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawLarne
22.79% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 52.05% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.014999999999997 0.01)74.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (0.065999999999995 0.07)38.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.062999999999999 0.06)75.15% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)52.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 22.79%
    Larne 52.04%
    Draw 25.16%
GlenavonDrawLarne
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.79%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.04%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Larne
3-0
Glenavon
Millar (14', 41'), Bonis (74')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Glenavon
0-1
Larne
Ward (80' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Glenavon
1-2
Larne
Glynn (40')
Campbell (30'), (82')
Birney (64'), Malone (77')
O'Neill (33'), Doherty (90+7' pen.)
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Larne
1-1
Glenavon
Bonis (3')
Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
3-2
Glenavon
Doherty (2'), Hughes (15'), McDaid (35')
Randall (47')
Campbell (21'), Wallace (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LarneLarne531185216490
2LinfieldLinfield514082404285
3CliftonvilleCliftonville512280433775
4CrusadersCrusaders530261431864
5GlentoranGlentoran511374433160
6ColeraineColeraine51224769-2246
Relegation Round
1Carrick RangersCarrick54015472-1850
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon55006469-547
3Loughgall52036068-845
4GlenavonGlenavon51044570-2537
5Ballymena UnitedBallymena53022970-4128
6Newry City AFC50052699-7317
 
Regular Season
1LarneLarne33248169175280
2LinfieldLinfield33253576354178
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33224773304370
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick33115174365-2238
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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