Nations League | League C
Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
We said: Cyprus 1-2 Kosovo
There is little to separate these two nations, though Kosovo's recent results against Greece, Burkina Faso and Switzerland suggest that they are the slight favourites for this contest.
Both sides will view this fixture as a winnable game, but we can see the visitors edging this encounter in Larnaca.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
Result |
Cyprus | Draw | Kosovo |
34.94% ( 0) | 27.38% ( 0.01) | 37.68% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.01) |
44.08% ( -0.02) | 55.92% ( 0.02) |
22.97% ( -0.02) | 77.03% ( 0.02) |
69.63% ( -0.01) | 30.37% ( 0.01) |