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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Estonia national football team
Nations League | Relegation Playoffs | 1st Leg
Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Cyprus national football team

Estonia
0 - 0
Cyprus


Sappinen (62'), Kreida (73')
FT

Artymatas (39'), Antoniou (57'), Papoulis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Estonia and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Cyprus

Last Six:
Last Game: Cyprus 0-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Estonia 1-1 Cyprus

 Neither nation is accustomed to taking the initiative, given their lowly status and sparse successes, so a tentative first leg may end all-square. Both teams are prone to capitulate under pressure though, so the likeliest outcome may be a score draw - leaving the tie finely balanced before next week's decider. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawCyprus
47.54%22.72%29.73%
Both teams to score 63.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93%37.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.74%59.26%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01%15.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.7%45.3%
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2%58.8%
Score Analysis
    Estonia 47.54%
    Cyprus 29.74%
    Draw 22.71%
EstoniaDrawCyprus
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 5.65%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 47.54%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Estonia vs Cyprus

Estonia
58.9%
Draw
33.9%
Cyprus
7.1%
56
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2017 5pm
Group H
Estonia
1-0
Cyprus
Kait (90')
Anier (78')

Demetriou (12')
Mar 25, 2017 5pm
Group H
Cyprus
0-0
Estonia

Laban (79')

Vassiljev (69')
rhs 2.0
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