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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Boreham Wood
Bromley
Chesterfield
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Wealdstone
Woking
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Maidenhead United

Rochdale
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Rodney (38')
Keohane (35'), Gordon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Rochdale and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Maidenhead United

Rochdale are carrying good momentum into this match and seem to have found some form in front of goal lately, scoring two or more goals in each of their last three games. Maidenhead's away record has been very poor over the last couple of months, and we feel that they will suffer a third consecutive defeat on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.

Result
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.81%
    Maidenhead United 24.66%
    Draw 23.52%
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Maidenhead

Rochdale
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Maidenhead United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Maidenhead
2-2
Rochdale
Smith (60'), Zimba (84')
De Havilland (66'), Asare (70'), Pettit (90+7')
Mitchell (29'), Sinclair (86')
Oduroh (90+8'), Rodney (90+2'), Keohane (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CChesterfield4631510106654198
2Barnet462681291603186
3Bromley462215973492481
4AltrinchamAltrincham4622111384592577
5Solihull MoorsSolihull462113127162976
6Gateshead462291588642475
7Halifax TownHalifax461914135850871
8Aldershot TownAldershot46209177483-969
9Southend UnitedSouthend4621121370452565
10Oldham AthleticOldham461518136360363
11Rochdale461614166964562
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool46179207082-1260
13Eastleigh461611197387-1459
14Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead461513186067-758
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red461414186963656
16WealdstoneWealdstone461511206072-1256
17Woking461510214955-655
18Fylde461510217482-855
19Ebbsfleet461412205974-1554
20York City461217175569-1453
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood461216185973-1452
22Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461113224059-1946
23Dorking WanderersDorking46129255485-3145
24Oxford CityOxford City4689295494-4033


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