Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solihull Moors in this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
36.78% ( -0.27) | 24.44% ( 0.03) | 38.78% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( -0.17) | 43.01% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( -0.17) | 65.41% ( 0.18) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.82% ( -0.22) | 23.18% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.94% ( -0.33) | 57.06% ( 0.33) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( 0.04) | 22.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( 0.06) | 55.54% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |