Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Woking |
19.4% ( -2.88) | 22.49% ( -1.25) | 58.11% ( 4.13) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 1.69) | 46.41% ( -1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% ( 1.57) | 68.69% ( -1.57) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( -1.95) | 37.94% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( -1.94) | 74.71% ( 1.94) |
Woking Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( 2.06) | 15.67% ( -2.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.28% ( 3.68) | 44.72% ( -3.68) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Woking |
1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.4% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.8) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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