Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
64.08% ( -0.28) | 20.86% ( -0.41) | 15.06% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 48.79% ( 2.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.35% ( 3.01) | 46.65% ( -3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( 2.76) | 68.92% ( -2.75) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% ( 0.88) | 13.85% ( -0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.77% ( 1.71) | 41.23% ( -1.71) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% ( 2.82) | 43.36% ( -2.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.41% ( 2.26) | 79.6% ( -2.26) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -1.15) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.65% Total : 64.08% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.51% Total : 15.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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