Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
26.87% ( -6.81) | 25.37% ( -0.03) | 47.75% ( 6.83) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( -3.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% ( -2.92) | 50.82% ( 2.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% ( -2.63) | 72.71% ( 2.63) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -6.25) | 33.48% ( 6.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( -7.46) | 70.11% ( 7.46) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 1.94) | 21.3% ( -1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( 2.91) | 54.23% ( -2.92) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -1.21) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( -1.09) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.98) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.61) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.76) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.87% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.6) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 1.78) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 1.79) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.55) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 1.12) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.3) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.5) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |