Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
39.02% ( 0.62) | 26.13% ( 0.28) | 34.84% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 53.62% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% ( -1.28) | 50.88% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( -1.14) | 72.76% ( 1.14) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% ( -0.25) | 25.56% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( -0.35) | 60.43% ( 0.35) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( -1.15) | 27.96% ( 1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% ( -1.49) | 63.59% ( 1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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