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New York City
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Fernandez (64')
Rodriguez (78'), O'Toole (89'), Perea (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-0 NY City
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

Chicago have lost seven successive away matches versus NYCFC in this competition, and though this will be their first visit to Citi Field, we believe the Pigeons' desperation will serve them well on Decision Day, though it may already be too little too late for each side in the playoff battle.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
64.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 20.66% (0.0019999999999989 0) 14.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)13.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 64.98%
    Chicago Fire 14.36%
    Draw 20.66%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29%
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.66%
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Chicago Fire
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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