Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result |
Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
46.12% ( 0.08) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.07% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.1) |
52.92% ( -0.11) | 47.08% ( 0.11) |
30.68% ( -0.1) | 69.32% ( 0.1) |
79.52% ( -0.01) | 20.47% ( 0.01) |