Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
55.83% ( -0.02) | 23.33% ( 0.01) | 20.84% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.97% ( -0.02) | 48.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.8% ( -0.02) | 70.19% ( 0.02) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.97% ( -0.02) | 17.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.82% ( -0.03) | 47.17% ( 0.03) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.64% ( -0) | 37.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% ( -0) | 74.14% |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.83% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |