Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
40.57% ( 0.07) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 31.73% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.32% ( 0.01) | 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( 0.01) | 78.44% ( -0.01) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0.05) | 27.88% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 0.06) | 63.49% ( -0.05) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.57% ( -0.03) | 33.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.94% ( -0.04) | 70.06% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |