Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.16% ( 0.14) | 24.2% ( -0.12) | 27.64% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( 0.53) | 45.32% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.34% ( 0.5) | 67.66% ( -0.5) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% ( 0.26) | 18.92% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.58% ( 0.44) | 50.42% ( -0.44) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( 0.26) | 30% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.88% ( 0.31) | 66.12% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |