Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
35.16% | 26.4% | 38.44% |
Both teams to score 52.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.01% | 51.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% | 73.72% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.97% | 64.03% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% | 26.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% | 61.55% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |