Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
52.79% | 24.51% | 22.7% |
Both teams to score 50.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% | 50.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.33% | 72.67% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% | 19.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.13% | 50.87% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.92% | 37.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.13% | 73.87% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.01% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.06% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |