Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Monaco | 7 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Lille | 7 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Clermont | 7 | -2 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Montpellier HSC | 7 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Toulouse | 7 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Nice | 7 | -3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
46.35% ( 0.63) | 24.81% ( 0.72) | 28.85% ( -1.35) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( -3.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.77% ( -3.95) | 47.23% ( 3.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.54% ( -3.78) | 69.46% ( 3.78) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% ( -1.33) | 20.44% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.11% ( -2.15) | 52.89% ( 2.15) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( -2.93) | 30.11% ( 2.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( -3.66) | 66.25% ( 3.65) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 1.17) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |