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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Toulouse

Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse

David (5'), Ounas (53')
Fonte (44'), Diakite (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chaibi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Toulouse

Two sides with contrasting thoughts as to how their seasons have started, Toulouse will travel to Lille confident of snatching a result. History suggests that it will be a challenge for the visitors, but given Lille's wretched form, do not bet against Toulouse snatching a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawToulouse
46.35% (0.628 0.63) 24.81% (0.718 0.72) 28.85% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-3.294 -3.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-3.948 -3.95)47.23% (3.948 3.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-3.778 -3.78)69.46% (3.778 3.78)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.326 -1.33)20.44% (1.326 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.15 -2.15)52.89% (2.15 2.15)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-2.926 -2.93)30.11% (2.926 2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-3.655 -3.66)66.25% (3.655 3.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.35%
    Toulouse 28.85%
    Draw 24.8%
LilleDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% (1.173 1.17)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.372 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.958 0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.446 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.619 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%

How you voted: Lille vs Toulouse

Lille
81.9%
Draw
16.7%
Toulouse
1.4%
72
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Lille
3-0
Toulouse
Remy (2', 39'), Sanches (72')
Osimhen (40')

Leya Iseka (24'), Sangare (89'), Vainqueur (90')
Oct 19, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-1
Lille
Sanogo (58'), Gradel (66' pen.)
Said (14'), Sanogo (40')
Fonte (93')
Xeka (71'), Araujo (73'), Pied (81'), Fonte (90')
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
0-0
Lille

Sidibe (23'), Gradel (41')

Celik (17'), Soumare (53'), Mendes (85')
Dec 22, 2018 8pm
Lille
1-2
Toulouse
Leao (17')
Mendes (45'), Dabila (62'), Maia (66')
Gradel (50' pen., 64')
Moubandje (38'), Durmaz (44'), Amian (70'), Sidibe (88')
May 6, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lille
Jean (9'), Jullien (44')
Yago (73'), Diop (78'), Moubandje (85')
Moubandje (90')
Pepe (5', 82'), Bissouma (80')
Bissouma (23'), Pepe (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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