Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier1 - 3Lille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lens | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Rennes | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Nice
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lorient | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Lille | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Auxerre | 6 | -4 | 7 |
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lille
Lille have performed better on the road so far this season, and we can envisage that continuing on Sunday. Montpellier have had a kind fixture list in recent weeks, with the visitors clearly possessing greater quality on paper as well as far fewer injury and suspension concerns. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
32.67% ( -0.31) | 26.49% ( -0.22) | 40.84% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
